Time to move on

The time has come for me to move on. I have decided to resign as the Vice-Chairman as well as my other positions, Technology Committee Chairman and Precinct 26 Committeeman, of the Bay County, Florida Republican Executive Committee. It's time to begin the next chapter in my life, and that includes blogging more. I will continue to comment on US and Florida politics as well as some of my other passions which include music, travel, NASCAR, NFL, NBA, baseball as well as whatever else interests me. So I hope I interest you enough to follow me on Twitter as well, @E_Wall

"Do not follow where the path may lead. Go instead where there is no path and leave a trail." -- Ralph Waldo Emerson

Rick Scott rising in polls

Image via WikipediaFL Governor campaign update, 10/4/10
Naples businessman and first-time candidate for Florida Governor Rick Scott has been rising in the polls since defeating Bill McCollum in the GOP primary this past August. His ads tying CFO Sink to President Obama have been particularly effective in light of the President's rising unpopularity among independents. Scott has a higher favorability rating than Sink, 41 to 39 according to a Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters taken the week of September 23rd. 48 percent of voters polled preferred Rick Scott on rebuilding Florida's economy. CNN/Time/Opinion Research also released a poll of likely voters showing the Scott campaign barely ahead of Alex Sink 47-45. The GOP has united around Scott (not including McCollum, however) in a major way. The Republican base and Tea Party have really taken to Rick's message and have embraced his pledge to not take a salary if elected. His numbers are rising despite the mixed response to his TV campaign, noted by the Quinnipiac University poll. Eighty-nine percent of those surveyed said they had seen Scott's TV ads, and 54 percent of that group called the ads "annoying". By October all political ads are annoying, but after such a divisive GOP primary, those numbers really aren't that bad in my personal opinion.
The Scott campaign has good reason to be optimistic, even if Nate Silver isn't. "The polls here are in conflict, with Mason-Dixon showing a 7-point lead for Alex Sink, the Democrat, while Rasmussen Reports has a 6-point lead for Rick Scott, the Republican. On balance, the new polls show that Mr. Scott’s chances have improved slightly: while he is still the underdog in the race, his chances of winning have improved to 42 percent, from 37 percent, according to the (538) model." Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight
UPDATE: Rick Scott now has a 60% chance to win. Nate revised his findings...

I met Rick and his wife last Monday here in Panama City and heard him speak at the opening of the local campaign office in downtown Panama City. His message resonated with the crowd in attendance, who all had a great opportunity to personally talk to Rick. Bay County voted for Rick by the highest margin in the state of Florida during the primary. His signs are everywhere here and I expect him to win the race and have a solid finish here locally in the Panhandle.
For my local Panama City readers, I read that FL Democratic gubernatorial candidate Alex Sink considered choosing our own Panama City mayor, Scott Clemons, as her running mate. Sounds like Clemons had a real future in the Democratic Party until he endorsed opportunistic independent candidate and current Governor Charlie Crist in his race for the US Senate against his own party's nominee, Kendrick Meek. This illustrates the internal conflict present in a floundering Democratic Party, struggling to swim upstream against a rising tide of voter anger resulting from the failures of the last 18 months and the unpopularity of the national Democratic leadership.